Aaron Jacobson vs Mark Paragua
Aaron Jacobson (27, IM, USA) and Mark Paragua (42, GM, PHI) have met 12 times in classical OTB. Paragua leads with 5 wins to 3, with 4 draws — a 33% draw rate. Their last meeting at 2025 President's Day NY Invitational - GM A saw Jacobson prevail. With current classical ratings of 2364 and 2410, the Elo model gives Paragua a 38% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2364 vs 2410 (Δ -46)
With Aaron Jacobson as white
34% Aaron28% draw38% Mark
With Mark Paragua as white
27% Aaron24% draw50% Mark
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Aaron Jacobson | Mark Paragua | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2364 | 2410 |
| Peak rating | 2450 · Oct 2023 | 2617 · Apr 2006 |
| Peak age | 24 | 22 |
| World rank now | #2,383 | #1,497 |
| World rank peak | #1,115 | #101 |
| Federation rank now | #115 | #6 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,024 | 1,576 |
| Months active | 149 | 209 |
| % white wins | 51% | 53% |
| % black wins | 43% | 49% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2296 | 2385 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 59 | 109 |
Best Win
Aaron Jacobson
Mark Paragua
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (14)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Aaron Jacobson
Mark Paragua