Alexey Fernandez Cardoso vs Juan Carlos Obregon Rivero
Alexey Fernandez Cardoso (45, IM, CUB) and Juan Carlos Obregon Rivero (37, GM, MEX) have met 16 times in classical OTB. Fernandez Cardoso leads with 9 wins to 5, with 2 draws — a 12% draw rate. Their last meeting at X Copa Quintana Roo Camara Asociados Magistral drew. With current classical ratings of 2409 and 2446, the Elo model gives Obregon Rivero a 36% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2409 vs 2446 (Δ -37)
With Alexey Fernandez Cardoso as white
35% Alexey29% draw36% Juan
With Juan Carlos Obregon Rivero as white
28% Alexey25% draw48% Juan
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Alexey Fernandez Cardoso | Juan Carlos Obregon Rivero | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2409 | 2446-17 |
| Peak rating | 2473 · May 2011 | 2560 · May 2015 |
| Peak age | 30 | 26 |
| World rank now | #1,588 | #1,058 |
| World rank peak | #1,024 | #381 |
| Federation rank now | #24 | #5 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,232 | 953 |
| Months active | 218 | 210 |
| % white wins | 57% | 62% |
| % black wins | 50% | 58% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | — | 2350 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 0 | 90 |
Best Win
Alexey Fernandez Cardoso
Juan Carlos Obregon Rivero
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (16)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Alexey Fernandez Cardoso
Juan Carlos Obregon Rivero