Analia Karen Miranda Vargas vs Arlette Guerrero Caicedo
Analia Karen Miranda Vargas (21, ECU) and Arlette Guerrero Caicedo (20, WFM, ECU) have met 12 times in classical OTB. Miranda Vargas leads with 7 wins to 3, with 2 draws — a 17% draw rate. Their last meeting at II SELECTIVO OLIMPICO FEMENINO saw Guerrero Caicedo prevail. With current classical ratings of 1878 and 1883, the Elo model gives Guerrero Caicedo a 35% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 1878 vs 1883 (Δ -5)
With Analia Karen Miranda Vargas as white
44% Analia21% draw35% Arlette
With Arlette Guerrero Caicedo as white
34% Analia21% draw45% Arlette
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Analia Karen Miranda Vargas | Arlette Guerrero Caicedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 1878 | 1883 |
| Peak rating | 1899 · Jul 2025 | 1997 · May 2025 |
| Peak age | 20 | 19 |
| World rank now | #53,707 | #52,400 |
| World rank peak | #41,607 | #26,638 |
| Federation rank now | #70 | #68 |
| Games (career, STD) | 309 | 398 |
| Months active | 131 | 106 |
| % white wins | 55% | 51% |
| % black wins | 49% | 52% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 1866 | 1798 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 29 | 76 |
Best Win
Analia Karen Miranda Vargas
Arlette Guerrero Caicedo
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (16)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Analia Karen Miranda Vargas
Arlette Guerrero Caicedo