Arseniy Nesterov vs Kirill Shubin
Arseniy Nesterov (23, GM, FID) and Kirill Shubin (23, GM, FID) have met 12 times in classical OTB. Nesterov leads with 4 wins to 1, with 7 draws — a 58% draw rate. Their last meeting at Team men PL chess final 2025 drew. With current classical ratings of 2599 and 2478, the Elo model gives Nesterov a 61% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2599 vs 2478 (Δ +121)
With Arseniy Nesterov as white
61% Arseniy20% draw19% Kirill
With Kirill Shubin as white
50% Arseniy24% draw26% Kirill
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Arseniy Nesterov | Kirill Shubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2599-9 | 2478-6 |
| Peak rating | 2608 · Apr 2026 | 2505 · Aug 2022 |
| Peak age | 23 | 19 |
| World rank now | #156 | #750 |
| World rank peak | #132 | #667 |
| Federation rank now | #6 | #26 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,297 | 1,138 |
| Months active | 165 | 163 |
| % white wins | 51% | 57% |
| % black wins | 46% | 51% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2583 | 2473 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 182 | 452 |
Best Win
Arseniy Nesterov
Kirill Shubin
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (22)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Arseniy Nesterov
Kirill Shubin