Ayan Akhmetov vs Erkin Kozganbay
Ayan Akhmetov (29, IM, KAZ) and Erkin Kozganbay (32, FM, KAZ) have met 14 times in classical OTB. Kozganbay leads with 3 wins to 2, with 9 draws — a 64% draw rate. Their last meeting at Astra chess Cup - 2 stage drew. With current classical ratings of 2383 and 2222, the Elo model gives Akhmetov a 67% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2383 vs 2222 (Δ +161)
With Ayan Akhmetov as white
67% Ayan17% draw16% Erkin
With Erkin Kozganbay as white
57% Ayan20% draw22% Erkin
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Ayan Akhmetov | Erkin Kozganbay | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2383 | 2222 |
| Peak rating | 2440 · Jan 2021 | 2368 · Jun 2014 |
| Peak age | 24 | 20 |
| World rank now | #1,975 | #7,042 |
| World rank peak | #1,249 | #2,540 |
| Federation rank now | #27 | #84 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,031 | 612 |
| Months active | 188 | 188 |
| % white wins | 62% | 60% |
| % black wins | 57% | 57% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2321 | 2135 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 262 | 182 |
Best Win
Ayan Akhmetov
Erkin Kozganbay
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (31)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Ayan Akhmetov
Erkin Kozganbay