Bongolethu Ncethelo vs Timofey Rogov
Bongolethu Ncethelo (20, RSA) and Timofey Rogov (21, RUS) have met 3 times in classical OTB plus 4 rapid/blitz games. Ncethelo leads the classical series 3–0 (0 draws). With current classical ratings of 1880 and 1976, the Elo model gives Rogov a 49% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 1880 vs 1976 (Δ -96)
With Bongolethu Ncethelo as white
31% Bongolethu20% draw49% Timofey
With Timofey Rogov as white
24% Bongolethu17% draw60% Timofey
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Bongolethu Ncethelo | Timofey Rogov | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 1880 | 1976 |
| Peak rating | 1917 · Jun 2024 | 1981 · Jan 2026 |
| Peak age | 18 | 21 |
| World rank now | #53,218 | #31,490 |
| World rank peak | #41,488 | #30,524 |
| Federation rank now | #135 | #904 |
| Games (career, STD) | 223 | 305 |
| Months active | 52 | 124 |
| % white wins | 52% | 51% |
| % black wins | 42% | 54% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 1902 | 1864 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 96 | 121 |
Best Win
Bongolethu Ncethelo
Timofey Rogov
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (7)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Bongolethu Ncethelo
Timofey Rogov