Dastan Bakytbek vs Mark Smirnov
Dastan Bakytbek (13, KAZ) and Mark Smirnov (14, IM, KAZ) have never met in classical OTB, but played 8 rapid/blitz games on record. They share 32 common opponents with at least 3 games each side, providing a calibration of relative strength. With current classical ratings of 1986 and 2431, the Elo model gives Smirnov a 87% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 1986 vs 2431 (Δ -445)
With Dastan Bakytbek as white
4% Dastan10% draw87% Mark
With Mark Smirnov as white
2% Dastan8% draw90% Mark
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Dastan Bakytbek | Mark Smirnov | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 1986-1 | 2431+15 |
| Peak rating | 1987 · Mar 2026 | 2431 · May 2026 |
| Peak age | 13 | 14 |
| World rank now | #29,771 | #1,225 |
| World rank peak | #29,728 | #1,225 |
| Federation rank now | #210 | #18 |
| Games (career, STD) | 218 | 427 |
| Months active | 42 | 61 |
| % white wins | 54% | 60% |
| % black wins | 53% | 57% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 1867 | 2441 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 228 | 403 |
Best Win
Dastan Bakytbek
Mark Smirnov
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (8)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Dastan Bakytbek
Mark Smirnov