Ethan Merkel vs Leo Ma
Ethan Merkel (13, FRA) and Leo Ma (13, FRA) have met 2 times in classical OTB plus 3 rapid/blitz games. Merkel leads the classical series 1–0 (1 draw). With current classical ratings of 2018 and 1750, the Elo model gives Merkel a 80% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2018 vs 1750 (Δ +268)
With Ethan Merkel as white
80% Ethan11% draw10% Leo
With Leo Ma as white
73% Ethan13% draw14% Leo
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Ethan Merkel | Leo Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2018 | 1750 |
| Peak rating | 2071 · Aug 2025 | 1756 · Apr 2026 |
| Peak age | 12 | 13 |
| World rank now | #24,810 | #92,402 |
| World rank peak | #17,741 | #91,078 |
| Federation rank now | #1,346 | #6,212 |
| Games (career, STD) | 460 | 157 |
| Months active | 55 | 55 |
| % white wins | 59% | 46% |
| % black wins | 55% | 50% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2018 | 1686 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 229 | 52 |
Best Win
Ethan Merkel
Leo Ma
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (5)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Ethan Merkel
Leo Ma