Ethan Merkel vs Noe El Karoui
Ethan Merkel (13, FRA) and Noe El Karoui (14, FRA) have met 2 times in classical OTB plus 5 rapid/blitz games. El Karoui leads the classical series 1–0 (1 draw). With current classical ratings of 2018 and 2114, the Elo model gives El Karoui a 48% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2018 vs 2114 (Δ -96)
With Ethan Merkel as white
31% Ethan21% draw48% Noe
With Noe El Karoui as white
23% Ethan18% draw59% Noe
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Ethan Merkel | Noe El Karoui | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2018-11 | 2114+14 |
| Peak rating | 2071 · Aug 2025 | 2114 · May 2026 |
| Peak age | 12 | 14 |
| World rank now | #24,811 | #14,128 |
| World rank peak | #17,741 | #14,128 |
| Federation rank now | #1,346 | #715 |
| Games (career, STD) | 460 | 304 |
| Months active | 54 | 50 |
| % white wins | 59% | 65% |
| % black wins | 55% | 58% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2011 | 2055 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 231 | 133 |
Best Win
Ethan Merkel
Noe El Karoui
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (7)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Ethan Merkel
Noe El Karoui