Ethan Saya vs Adrien Bailleul
Ethan Saya (23, FM, FRA) and Adrien Bailleul (23, FRA) have met 7 times in classical OTB plus 4 rapid/blitz games. Saya leads the classical series 5–0 (2 draws). With current classical ratings of 2301 and 2091, the Elo model gives Saya a 73% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2301 vs 2091 (Δ +210)
With Ethan Saya as white
73% Ethan14% draw12% Adrien
With Adrien Bailleul as white
65% Ethan17% draw18% Adrien
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Ethan Saya | Adrien Bailleul | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2301 | 2091 |
| Peak rating | 2313 · Mar 2026 | 2121 · Feb 2024 |
| Peak age | 23 | 21 |
| World rank now | #4,053 | #16,226 |
| World rank peak | #3,649 | #12,780 |
| Federation rank now | #169 | #846 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,124 | 626 |
| Months active | 155 | 151 |
| % white wins | 65% | 46% |
| % black wins | 61% | 49% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2235 | 2074 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 284 | 22 |
Best Win
Ethan Saya
Adrien Bailleul
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (11)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Ethan Saya
Adrien Bailleul