Ethan Saya vs Phileas Mathieu
Ethan Saya (23, FM, FRA) and Phileas Mathieu (21, IM, FRA) have met 9 times in classical OTB plus 6 rapid/blitz games. Saya leads the classical series 3–2 (4 draws). With current classical ratings of 2301 and 2390, the Elo model gives Mathieu a 45% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2301 vs 2390 (Δ -89)
With Ethan Saya as white
30% Ethan25% draw45% Phileas
With Phileas Mathieu as white
22% Ethan21% draw57% Phileas
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Ethan Saya | Phileas Mathieu | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2301-11 | 2390+17 |
| Peak rating | 2313 · Mar 2026 | 2400 · Jan 2023 |
| Peak age | 23 | 18 |
| World rank now | #4,053 | #1,845 |
| World rank peak | #3,649 | #1,845 |
| Federation rank now | #169 | #73 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,124 | 1,042 |
| Months active | 154 | 152 |
| % white wins | 65% | 60% |
| % black wins | 61% | 55% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2235 | 2242 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 299 | 115 |
Best Win
Ethan Saya
Phileas Mathieu
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (15)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Ethan Saya
Phileas Mathieu