Hikaru Nakamura vs Fabiano Caruana
Hikaru Nakamura (39, GM, USA) and Fabiano Caruana (34, GM, USA) have met 60 times in classical OTB. Nakamura leads with 12 wins to 9, with 39 draws — a 65% draw rate. Their last meeting at FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 saw Nakamura prevail. With current classical ratings of 2792 and 2788, the Elo model gives Nakamura a 42% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2792 vs 2788 (Δ +4)
With Hikaru Nakamura as white
42% Hikaru27% draw31% Fabiano
With Fabiano Caruana as white
32% Hikaru28% draw41% Fabiano
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Hikaru Nakamura | Fabiano Caruana | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2792-18 | 2788-5 |
| Peak rating | 2816 · Oct 2015 | 2844 · Oct 2014 |
| Peak age | 28 | 22 |
| World rank now | #2 | #3 |
| World rank peak | #2 | #2 |
| Federation rank now | #1 | #2 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,210 | 1,821 |
| Months active | 219 | 215 |
| % white wins | 45% | 45% |
| % black wins | 34% | 34% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2586 | 2798 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 98 | 213 |
Best Win
Hikaru Nakamura
Fabiano Caruana
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (123)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Hikaru Nakamura
Fabiano Caruana