Jaden Shaw vs John Stephenson
Jaden Shaw (19, FM, JAM) and John Stephenson (20, JAM) have met 14 times in classical OTB. Shaw leads with 3 wins to 2, with 9 draws — a 64% draw rate. Their last meeting at National Championship 2026 drew. With current classical ratings of 2098 and 1909, the Elo model gives Shaw a 71% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2098 vs 1909 (Δ +189)
With Jaden Shaw as white
71% Jaden14% draw15% John
With John Stephenson as white
63% Jaden17% draw21% John
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Jaden Shaw | John Stephenson | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2098-19 | 1909 |
| Peak rating | 2146 · Jun 2025 | 1909 · Mar 2026 |
| Peak age | 18 | 20 |
| World rank now | #15,583 | #45,946 |
| World rank peak | #11,210 | #45,946 |
| Federation rank now | #5 | #20 |
| Games (career, STD) | 431 | 301 |
| Months active | 110 | 96 |
| % white wins | 56% | 46% |
| % black wins | 52% | 40% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2061 | 1846 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 70 | 42 |
Best Win
Jaden Shaw
John Stephenson
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (14)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Jaden Shaw
John Stephenson