Juan Manuel Posada vs Estiven Zapata Arbelaez
Juan Manuel Posada (29, FM, COL) and Estiven Zapata Arbelaez (27, FM, COL) have met 10 times in classical OTB. Zapata Arbelaez leads with 3 wins to 2, with 5 draws — a 50% draw rate. Their last meeting at Panamericano Sub-20 Absoluto COLOMBIA 2016 drew. With current classical ratings of 2151 and 2203, the Elo model gives Zapata Arbelaez a 40% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2151 vs 2203 (Δ -52)
With Juan Manuel Posada as white
35% Juan25% draw40% Estiven
With Estiven Zapata Arbelaez as white
27% Juan21% draw52% Estiven
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Juan Manuel Posada | Estiven Zapata Arbelaez | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2151 | 2203 |
| Peak rating | 2198 · Nov 2018 | 2237 · Sep 2016 |
| Peak age | 21 | 17 |
| World rank now | #12,132 | #8,906 |
| World rank peak | #10,031 | #7,846 |
| Federation rank now | #79 | #58 |
| Games (career, STD) | 553 | 529 |
| Months active | 190 | 187 |
| % white wins | 52% | 53% |
| % black wins | 43% | 45% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | — | — |
| Activity 12m (games) | 13 | 0 |
Best Win
Juan Manuel Posada
Estiven Zapata Arbelaez
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (10)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Juan Manuel Posada
Estiven Zapata Arbelaez