Justin Penrose vs Dave Lacey
Justin Penrose (63, AUS) and Dave Lacey (48, AUS) have met 10 times in classical OTB. Lacey leads with 5 wins to 2, with 3 draws — a 30% draw rate. Their last meeting at 2017 MCC Open saw Lacey prevail. With current classical ratings of 1952 and 1879, the Elo model gives Penrose a 56% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 1952 vs 1879 (Δ +73)
With Justin Penrose as white
56% Justin18% draw26% Dave
With Dave Lacey as white
45% Justin21% draw34% Dave
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Justin Penrose | Dave Lacey | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 1952 | 1879 |
| Peak rating | 2061 · Jul 2003 | 1962 · Oct 2012 |
| Peak age | 40 | 34 |
| World rank now | #41,614 | #53,432 |
| World rank peak | #27,891 | #33,490 |
| Federation rank now | #169 | #273 |
| Games (career, STD) | 396 | 298 |
| Months active | 207 | 185 |
| % white wins | 59% | 53% |
| % black wins | 45% | 43% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | — | — |
| Activity 12m (games) | 0 | 0 |
Best Win
Justin Penrose
Dave Lacey
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (10)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Justin Penrose
Dave Lacey