Magnus Carlsen vs Fabiano Caruana
Magnus Carlsen (36, GM, NOR) and Fabiano Caruana (34, GM, USA) have met 61 times in classical OTB. Carlsen leads with 15 wins to 6, with 40 draws — a 66% draw rate. Their last meeting at FIDE World Blitz Championship 2025 - Finals drew. With current classical ratings of 2840 and 2788, the Elo model gives Carlsen a 50% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2840 vs 2788 (Δ +52)
With Magnus Carlsen as white
50% Magnus24% draw26% Fabiano
With Fabiano Caruana as white
38% Magnus29% draw33% Fabiano
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Magnus Carlsen | Fabiano Caruana | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2840 | 2788-5 |
| Peak rating | 2882 · May 2014 | 2844 · Oct 2014 |
| Peak age | 24 | 22 |
| World rank now | #1 | #3 |
| World rank peak | #1 | #2 |
| Federation rank now | #1 | #2 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,091 | 1,821 |
| Months active | 218 | 215 |
| % white wins | 53% | 45% |
| % black wins | 37% | 34% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2829 | 2803 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 102 | 214 |
Best Win
Magnus Carlsen
Fabiano Caruana
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (116)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Magnus Carlsen
Fabiano Caruana