Magnus Carlsen vs Vincent Keymer
Magnus Carlsen (36, GM, NOR) and Vincent Keymer (22, GM, GER) have met 5 times in classical OTB plus 15 rapid/blitz games. Carlsen leads the classical series 4–1 (0 draws). With current classical ratings of 2840 and 2759, the Elo model gives Carlsen a 55% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2840 vs 2759 (Δ +81)
With Magnus Carlsen as white
55% Magnus22% draw23% Vincent
With Vincent Keymer as white
43% Magnus27% draw30% Vincent
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Magnus Carlsen | Vincent Keymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2840 | 2759-3 |
| Peak rating | 2882 · May 2014 | 2776 · Dec 2025 |
| Peak age | 24 | 21 |
| World rank now | #1 | #7 |
| World rank peak | #1 | #4 |
| Federation rank now | #1 | #1 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,091 | 989 |
| Months active | 218 | 169 |
| % white wins | 53% | 50% |
| % black wins | 37% | 35% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2835 | 2789 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 100 | 143 |
Best Win
Magnus Carlsen
Vincent Keymer
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (20)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Magnus Carlsen
Vincent Keymer