Mario Sibilio vs Valerio Carnicelli
Mario Sibilio (66, FM, ITA) and Valerio Carnicelli (26, IM, ITA) have met 3 times in classical OTB plus 80 rapid/blitz games. Sibilio leads the classical series 1–0 (2 draws). With current classical ratings of 2233 and 2426, the Elo model gives Carnicelli a 62% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2233 vs 2426 (Δ -193)
With Mario Sibilio as white
19% Mario19% draw62% Valerio
With Valerio Carnicelli as white
13% Mario16% draw71% Valerio
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Mario Sibilio | Valerio Carnicelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2233 | 2426-10 |
| Peak rating | 2395 · Jan 2007 | 2454 · Dec 2025 |
| Peak age | 47 | 25 |
| World rank now | #6,553 | #1,286 |
| World rank peak | #2,337 | #969 |
| Federation rank now | #114 | #22 |
| Games (career, STD) | 503 | 1,738 |
| Months active | 217 | 188 |
| % white wins | 68% | 62% |
| % black wins | 63% | 54% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2271 | 2389 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 94 | 167 |
Best Win
Mario Sibilio
Valerio Carnicelli
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (83)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Mario Sibilio
Valerio Carnicelli