Matthew Guo Diao vs Ariv Debmisra
Matthew Guo Diao (16, FM, USA) and Ariv Debmisra (12, USA) have met 4 times in classical OTB plus 1 rapid/blitz game. Diao leads the classical series 3–0 (1 draw). With current classical ratings of 2269 and 2094, the Elo model gives Diao a 69% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2269 vs 2094 (Δ +175)
With Matthew Guo Diao as white
69% Matthew16% draw15% Ariv
With Ariv Debmisra as white
60% Matthew19% draw22% Ariv
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Matthew Guo Diao | Ariv Debmisra | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2269-16 | 2094+88 |
| Peak rating | 2340 · Jan 2026 | 2094 · May 2026 |
| Peak age | 16 | 12 |
| World rank now | #5,110 | #15,958 |
| World rank peak | #2,927 | #15,958 |
| Federation rank now | #213 | #481 |
| Games (career, STD) | 418 | 367 |
| Months active | 49 | 47 |
| % white wins | 51% | 41% |
| % black wins | 41% | 32% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2238 | 1953 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 102 | 145 |
Best Win
Matthew Guo Diao
Ariv Debmisra
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (5)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Matthew Guo Diao
Ariv Debmisra