Mikael Agopov vs Toivo Keinanen
Mikael Agopov (48, IM, FIN) and Toivo Keinanen (24, IM, FIN) have met 11 times in classical OTB. Agopov leads with 4 wins to 3, with 4 draws — a 36% draw rate. Their last meeting at Yleinen SM 2026 saw Keinanen prevail. With current classical ratings of 2388 and 2495, the Elo model gives Keinanen a 48% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2388 vs 2495 (Δ -107)
With Mikael Agopov as white
27% Mikael25% draw48% Toivo
With Toivo Keinanen as white
20% Mikael21% draw59% Toivo
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Mikael Agopov | Toivo Keinanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2388-18 | 2495+2 |
| Peak rating | 2465 · Jun 2015 | 2557 · Oct 2024 |
| Peak age | 37 | 22 |
| World rank now | #1,889 | #619 |
| World rank peak | #995 | #312 |
| Federation rank now | #6 | #3 |
| Games (career, STD) | 828 | 815 |
| Months active | 217 | 158 |
| % white wins | 46% | 65% |
| % black wins | 39% | 60% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2347 | 2435 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 50 | 281 |
Best Win
Mikael Agopov
Toivo Keinanen
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (14)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Mikael Agopov
Toivo Keinanen