Nathan Yan vs Ethan Guo
Nathan Yan (16, FM, USA) and Ethan Guo (13, FM, USA) have met 5 times in classical OTB. Guo leads the classical series 1–0 (4 draws). With current classical ratings of 2183 and 2404, the Elo model gives Guo a 66% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2183 vs 2404 (Δ -221)
With Nathan Yan as white
17% Nathan17% draw66% Ethan
With Ethan Guo as white
11% Nathan15% draw74% Ethan
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Nathan Yan | Ethan Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2183 | 2404+17 |
| Peak rating | 2311 · Dec 2023 | 2404 · May 2026 |
| Peak age | 13 | 13 |
| World rank now | #9,108 | #1,604 |
| World rank peak | #3,769 | #1,604 |
| Federation rank now | #321 | #86 |
| Games (career, STD) | 449 | 779 |
| Months active | 59 | 59 |
| % white wins | 34% | 40% |
| % black wins | 24% | 36% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2181 | 2304 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 47 | 252 |
Best Win
Nathan Yan
Ethan Guo
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (5)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Nathan Yan
Ethan Guo