Nikolay Averin vs Aidan Gafurov
Nikolay Averin (16, IM, FID) and Aidan Gafurov (11, FID) have never met in classical OTB, but played 5 rapid/blitz games on record. They share 25 common opponents with at least 3 games each side, providing a calibration of relative strength. With current classical ratings of 2416 and 2236, the Elo model gives Averin a 69% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2416 vs 2236 (Δ +180)
With Nikolay Averin as white
69% Nikolay16% draw14% Aidan
With Aidan Gafurov as white
60% Nikolay20% draw20% Aidan
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Nikolay Averin | Aidan Gafurov | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2416 | 2236 |
| Peak rating | 2446 · Apr 2022 | 2236 · Apr 2026 |
| Peak age | 12 | 11 |
| World rank now | #1,412 | #6,427 |
| World rank peak | #1,168 | #6,427 |
| Federation rank now | #47 | #116 |
| Games (career, STD) | 955 | 230 |
| Months active | 117 | 46 |
| % white wins | 61% | 52% |
| % black wins | 57% | 50% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2439 | 2176 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 1014 | 187 |
Best Win
Nikolay Averin
Aidan Gafurov
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (5)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Nikolay Averin
Aidan Gafurov