Nilson Cardenas Carbajal vs Joel Gavarrete
Nilson Cardenas Carbajal (41, CM, HON) and Joel Gavarrete (29, HON) have met 16 times in classical OTB. Cardenas Carbajal leads with 6 wins to 5, with 5 draws — a 31% draw rate. Their last meeting at Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Absoluto) saw Gavarrete prevail. With current classical ratings of 2037 and 2010, the Elo model gives Cardenas Carbajal a 48% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2037 vs 2010 (Δ +27)
With Nilson Cardenas Carbajal as white
48% Nilson21% draw31% Joel
With Joel Gavarrete as white
37% Nilson24% draw39% Joel
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Nilson Cardenas Carbajal | Joel Gavarrete | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2037-1 | 2010 |
| Peak rating | 2126 · Jun 2023 | 2091 · Sep 2022 |
| Peak age | 38 | 25 |
| World rank now | #22,294 | #25,949 |
| World rank peak | #12,486 | #16,013 |
| Federation rank now | #6 | #11 |
| Games (career, STD) | 565 | 360 |
| Months active | 154 | 138 |
| % white wins | 56% | 59% |
| % black wins | 49% | 54% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2014 | 1923 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 55 | 7 |
Best Win
Nilson Cardenas Carbajal
Joel Gavarrete
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (17)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Nilson Cardenas Carbajal
Joel Gavarrete