Patrick Liu vs Ethan Guo
Patrick Liu (14, FM, USA) and Ethan Guo (13, FM, USA) have met 8 times in classical OTB. With current classical ratings of 2148 and 2404, the Elo model gives Guo a 70% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2148 vs 2404 (Δ -256)
With Patrick Liu as white
14% Patrick16% draw70% Ethan
With Ethan Guo as white
9% Patrick13% draw78% Ethan
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Patrick Liu | Ethan Guo | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2148+12 | 2404+17 |
| Peak rating | 2262 · Aug 2025 | 2404 · May 2026 |
| Peak age | 13 | 13 |
| World rank now | #11,369 | #1,604 |
| World rank peak | #5,248 | #1,604 |
| Federation rank now | #368 | #86 |
| Games (career, STD) | 566 | 779 |
| Months active | 81 | 59 |
| % white wins | 37% | 40% |
| % black wins | 33% | 36% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2164 | 2304 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 119 | 252 |
Best Win
Patrick Liu
Ethan Guo
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (8)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Patrick Liu
Ethan Guo