Rafael Araque vs Juan Manuel Cadena
Rafael Araque (58, IM, COL) and Juan Manuel Cadena (54, COL) have never met in classical OTB, but played 14 rapid/blitz games on record. They share 16 common opponents with at least 3 games each side, providing a calibration of relative strength. With current classical ratings of 2129 and 2113, the Elo model gives Araque a 46% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2129 vs 2113 (Δ +16)
With Rafael Araque as white
46% Rafael23% draw31% Juan
With Juan Manuel Cadena as white
35% Rafael24% draw40% Juan
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Rafael Araque | Juan Manuel Cadena | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2129 | 2113 |
| Peak rating | 2388 · Jul 2001 | 2156 · Jul 2009 |
| Peak age | 33 | 37 |
| World rank now | #12,823 | #13,555 |
| World rank peak | #2,255 | #13,385 |
| Federation rank now | #73 | #94 |
| Games (career, STD) | 83 | 111 |
| Months active | 217 | 183 |
| % white wins | 59% | 64% |
| % black wins | 48% | 56% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | — | — |
| Activity 12m (games) | 61 | 63 |
Best Win
Rafael Araque
Juan Manuel Cadena
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (14)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Rafael Araque
Juan Manuel Cadena