Sam Shankland vs Fabiano Caruana
Sam Shankland (35, GM, USA) and Fabiano Caruana (34, GM, USA) have met 13 times in classical OTB. Caruana leads with 5 wins to 0, with 8 draws — a 62% draw rate. Their last meeting at 2025 US Championship saw Caruana prevail. With current classical ratings of 2647 and 2788, the Elo model gives Caruana a 53% chance of winning a classical game with white.
Head-to-Head Score
If they played today · Classical
Based on current Elo: 2647 vs 2788 (Δ -141)
With Sam Shankland as white
24% Sam23% draw53% Fabiano
With Fabiano Caruana as white
17% Sam19% draw64% Fabiano
Estimate from Elo only · doesn't account for recent form, opening prep, or context.
Career Compare
| Sam Shankland | Fabiano Caruana | |
|---|---|---|
| Current rating (STD) | 2647-4 | 2788-5 |
| Peak rating | 2731 · Feb 2019 | 2844 · Oct 2014 |
| Peak age | 28 | 22 |
| World rank now | #71 | #3 |
| World rank peak | #23 | #2 |
| Federation rank now | #11 | #2 |
| Games (career, STD) | 1,363 | 1,821 |
| Months active | 194 | 215 |
| % white wins | 46% | 45% |
| % black wins | 33% | 34% |
| TPR last 12m (STD) | 2629 | 2792 |
| Activity 12m (games) | 123 | 212 |
Best Win
Sam Shankland
Fabiano Caruana
Highest-rated opponent ever beaten · STD primary, rapid/blitz for context
All Meetings (26)
Common Opponents
Tournaments Both Played
Cohort Position
Each player compared to active peers (same federation, ±75 Elo, played in last 12 months).
Sam Shankland
Fabiano Caruana